Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.417020 0.456213 0.498083 0.546243 0.600240 0.659060 0.728179
2026-02-08 0.353758 0.408635 0.471322 0.548681 0.642203 0.752395 0.893220
2026-02-15 0.313159 0.374979 0.448830 0.544451 0.666296 0.818153 1.024575
2026-02-22 0.286648 0.353189 0.435585 0.546528 0.694198 0.887170 1.163801
2026-03-01 0.262338 0.330864 0.418255 0.539818 0.707686 0.936141 1.279186
2026-03-08 0.241658 0.310928 0.401537 0.531200 0.716149 0.977140 1.385881
2026-03-15 0.221412 0.289711 0.380987 0.514808 0.711105 0.997020 1.461812
2026-03-22 0.212826 0.283456 0.380017 0.525296 0.744935 1.076096 1.637134
2026-03-29 0.204542 0.276858 0.377803 0.533354 0.775240 1.152041 1.816149
2026-04-05 0.195847 0.268976 0.372996 0.536819 0.798266 1.218097 1.986186
2026-04-12 0.187514 0.261002 0.367367 0.538318 0.817866 1.279878 2.155992
2026-04-19 0.180625 0.254668 0.363646 0.542282 0.841445 1.350153 2.350073
2026-04-26 0.170329 0.242780 0.350945 0.531262 0.839507 1.376796 2.466788
2026-05-03 0.164024 0.236606 0.346676 0.533629 0.860632 1.446736 2.679362
2026-05-10 0.156799 0.228575 0.338944 0.529540 0.869835 1.495327 2.854850
2026-05-17 0.151475 0.223197 0.335054 0.531548 0.889918 1.566217 3.088302
2026-05-24 0.144802 0.215320 0.326635 0.525062 0.893670 1.605424 3.257235
2026-05-31 0.138252 0.207312 0.317546 0.516732 0.893139 1.635782 3.410228
2026-06-07 0.130716 0.197362 0.304718 0.500883 0.876878 1.632144 3.481538
2026-06-14 0.128502 0.196004 0.306226 0.511024 0.912027 1.739748 3.844132
2026-06-21 0.125978 0.193995 0.306483 0.518814 0.943084 1.841995 4.212347
2026-06-28 0.122832 0.190785 0.304470 0.522163 0.965302 1.927103 4.551353
2026-07-05 0.119552 0.187190 0.301582 0.523612 0.983614 2.005307 4.886580